Sydney Observatory Eclipse Trip 2010: The Saros Cycle
A total solar eclipse occurs when the Moon passes between the Sun and Earth. The Moon’s shadow (a small black spot) sweeps across the face of the Earth and anyone under the shadow spot experiences the eclipse for a few minutes each. See Dr Woodruff”s blog. The characteristics of each eclipse can be predicted by something called the Saros cycle.
In fact, these days we just use a computer and an astronomical planetarium program to predict how an eclipse will look. But in the past keen observers noticed that similar eclipses repeated every 18 years 11 days and 8 hours – the Saros cycle. The cycle is used to predict when & where an eclipse will occur and how it will appear. This has been known since ancient times. I suspect, but have no evidence, that the Inca would have been aware of the cycle.
Each cycle is numbered, although arbitrarily from the second millenium BC. The total solar eclipse of July 11 2010 was the 27th eclipse, and the 5th total solar eclipse in Saros cycle number 146. There will be 76 eclipses in all in this cycle. It began on Sept 19 1541 and will end on Dec 29 2893! How is that for precise long term astronomical prediction?
Within each even-numbered series the first eclipse occurs over the antarctic and every 18 years each eclipse appears further north until they pass over the arctic. Each eclipse is offset by 120 degrees around the Earth due to the eight-hour part of the cycle. This figure shows this nicely.
None of the previous eclipses of cycle 146 were visible to the Inca nor from Rapa Nui (Easter Island). However, several occured over the Inca empire during their time. One in particular passed north of Cusco on February 24 1514 (if my computer is correct), long before the Conquistadors arrived. Hardly a precursor of disaster it was just a natural, if spectacular, celestial event.
For more information on the Saros cycle see Fred Espenak’s excellent site.
As far as I can determine there has been no previous total solar eclipse over Rapa Nui, at least in the time it has been inhabited.


























